Humana Q4 EPS Loss of $4.01 Forecast Despite 9.2% Revenue Growth
Analysts forecast Humana will report a Q4 loss of $4.01 per share, an 85.7% year-over-year decline, on revenue of $31.88 billion, up 9.2% from last year. Investment income is expected to drop 8.2% to a $272.6 million loss, while premiums and services revenues are projected to rise 8.9% and 22.2%, respectively.
1. Earnings Estimate Summary
Humana is expected to report a Q4 loss of $4.01 per share, representing an 85.7% year-over-year drop in EPS. Consensus EPS estimates have remained unchanged over the past month, underscoring analyst conviction in the projected loss.
2. Revenue Projections
Total revenues are forecast at $31.88 billion, up 9.2% year-over-year. Investment income is expected to show an $272.61 million loss (-8.2%), while premiums of $30.23 billion (+8.9%) and services revenue of $1.42 billion (+22.2%) highlight core business growth.
3. Key Metrics & Membership Trends
Analysts anticipate a consolidated benefits expense ratio of 93.3% versus 91.5% a year ago, signaling rising costs. Medicare stand-alone PDP membership is seen at 2.49 million (+8.7%), with total Medicare members projected at 8.29 million, slightly below last year’s 8.50 million.
4. Stock Performance & Analyst Rank
Over the past month, Humana shares declined 30.3% while the broader market fell 1.5%. The company holds a consensus Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance following these earnings projections.