InnovAge Q4 revenue beats estimates, driven by higher participant census
INNV•Outlook and analyst coverage
- InnovAge sees fiscal 2027 revenue between $1.05 bln and $1.085 bln
- Company expects fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA of $105 mln to $115 mln
- InnovAge projects fiscal 2027 census of 8,625 to 8,850 participants
- The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 1 "strong buy" or "buy", 2 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"
- Wall Street's median 12-month price target for InnovAge Holding Corp is $10.00, about 7% below its September 4 closing price of $10.75
- The stock recently traded at 26 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 20 three months ago
Q4 revenue beats estimates on higher participant census
- US senior care provider's fiscal Q4 revenue grew and beat analyst expectations
- Adjusted EPS for fiscal Q4 was positive, but no analyst estimate available
- Company reduced full-year net loss and improved adjusted EBITDA and margin
Key details
| Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 Revenue | Beat | $261.95 mln | $238.27 mln (3 Analysts) |
| Q4 EPS | $0.06 |
Higher revenue was driven by increased participant census and capitation revenue. Center-level contribution margin rose to $227.8 mln, up 48.3% from the prior year, and margin increased to 23% of revenue.




