Intuit Shares Slide 34% Since November Despite Revenue, Margin Gains
Between November 5, 2025 and February 3, 2026, Intuit’s shares fell 34% despite moderate revenue and margin growth, driven by investor concerns over valuation risk in SMB-focused software. The pullback follows a multi-year period of premium multiples and increased scrutiny on small and mid-sized business software valuations.
1. Intuit Outperforms Sector Despite Market Slump
In Tuesday’s trading session, Intuit shares rose approximately 2.5%, contrasting with a broader software index decline of nearly 1.8%. Investor buying was linked to stronger-than-expected subscriber retention in the company’s TurboTax and QuickBooks segments, where year-over-year renewal rates improved by 120 basis points. Market participants highlighted Intuit’s ability to cross-sell Credit Karma services, which delivered a 15% increase in active users over the last quarter, underpinning confidence in recurring revenue streams.
2. 34% Stock Correction Reflects Valuation Recalibration
Since early November, Intuit’s share price has retraced roughly one third of its multi-year gains, an adjustment that coincided with a broad reassessment of software companies serving small and midsize businesses. Despite revenue growth of 11% year-over-year and a gross margin expansion of 90 basis points in the most recent quarter, valuation multiples contracted from 28x forward EBITDA to 22x. Analysts attribute the pullback to heightened sensitivity around premium valuations, particularly as the company’s SMB exposure now represents 45% of total bookings compared with 38% two years ago.
3. Mailchimp Opt-In Report Underscores Long-Term Growth Levers
Intuit’s Mailchimp division this week published 'The Art of the Opt-In,' a global study featuring insights from over 2,000 marketers and 6,000 consumers across North America, Europe and Australia/New Zealand. The findings reveal only 8% of brands exceed a 20% conversion rate on email sign-ups and that full marketing automation correlates with tripled list quality scores. Management cites these data points as evidence of a sizable service opportunity: just 21% of firms have fully automated campaigns, suggesting a potential cross-sell market of more than 80,000 small businesses currently using QuickBooks but not leveraging Mailchimp’s automation suite.