Japan budget requests swell to pandemic-era scale under Takaichi agenda

TOKYO, Sept. 4 (Reuters) - Japan's budget requests for the next fiscal year have ballooned to a size similar to during the pandemic era, as Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's expansionary fiscal agenda pushes government borrowing costs to three-decade highs. Budget requests from government agencies totalled 143.66 trillion yen ($922 billion), the Ministry of Finance said on Friday, after the government adopted a budgeting framework that integrates initial and supplementary budget spending. The increase underscores tension at the heart of Takaichi's economic agenda as her push to invest in strategic sectors has contributed to a rise in borrowing costs, and intensifies market attention on the size of government bond issuance next year. The total exceeds the 140.61 trillion yen combined spending package finalised during Takaichi's first year in office, comprising an 18.3 trillion yen supplementary budget for fiscal 2025 and 122.3 trillion yen initial budget for fiscal 2026. It also compares to the amounts the government spent supporting households and businesses during the COVID-19 pandemic. The requested figure could rise because many items have been requested without specified amounts, including defence spending as the government reviews its defence strategy in a process that could lead to additional military procurement and investment. The increase versus a year earlier was driven in part by 12.2 trillion yen in requests made under a new investment programme for strategic sectors such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors and economic security. It also reflected higher borrowing costs, prompting the ministry to raise its assumed interest rate to 3.8%, from 3.0% used in the fiscal 2026 budget, after the 10-year government bond yield hit 3% for the first time since 1996. That pushed requests for debt-servicing costs, including interest payments and debt redemption, to a record 36.64 trillion yen, 5.36 trillion yen more than in the current fiscal year. The finance ministry will scrutinise the budget requests before the government finalises the budget at year-end. Market attention is likely to shift to the scale of new government bond issuance in the fiscal 2027 budget. The government aims to keep new bond issuance around 40 trillion yen, roughly in line with the fiscal 2025 budget, Takaichi told the Yomiuri newspaper in an interview last week. "While Takaichi's growth strategy seeks to boost Japan's long-term growth potential through investment, markets remain focused on near-term signals such as budget size and bond issuance," said senior economist Saisuke Sakai at Mizuho Research Institute. "Markets are looking for proof that higher spending will translate into stronger growth, backed by reforms that address structural constraints such as labour, land and energy shortages," Sakai said.

Japan budget requests swell to pandemic-era scale under Takaichi agenda

Budget requests climb to pandemic-era levels

Strategic investment and higher rates drive the increase

Debt-service costs hit a record as bond issuance stays in focus

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