JPMorgan Cuts Qualcomm Price Target to $195, Lowers 2026 EPS

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JPMorgan cut its Qualcomm price target from $210 to $195 while lowering fiscal 2026 EPS estimate to $11.50 from $11.80 and fiscal 2027 forecast to $12.15 from $12.80. The bank expects Q1 revenue of $12.6 billion versus $12.2 billion consensus, citing higher operating and acquisition costs.

1. Qualcomm Powers ECARX Zenith Platform

Qualcomm’s next-generation Snapdragon Elite chip has been selected to power ECARX’s Zenith software-defined vehicle platform, marking a significant step in the development of high-performance, AI-driven automotive systems. The Snapdragon Elite delivers multi-core CPU and GPU performance improvements of up to 30% versus its predecessor and integrates advanced computer-vision accelerators for real-time driver-assist and safety features. ECARX plans to deploy the Zenith platform across 12 new electric vehicle models starting in mid-2026, targeting North American and European OEMs. This collaboration underscores Qualcomm’s strategic push into the automotive segment, which management forecasts will contribute over 15% of total chip revenue by fiscal 2027.

2. Earnings Preview Highlights Growth and Challenges

Qualcomm is set to report quarterly results on February 4, with consensus forecasts calling for earnings per share of $3.37 and revenue of approximately $12.1 billion, reflecting a year-over-year revenue increase of roughly 4.8%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is slightly higher on revenue at $12.23 billion, driven by recent ramp-ups in AI and industrial chip shipments. Despite this top-line strength, the company is contending with antitrust investigations in China and anticipated licensing headwinds from in-house modem development by major smartphone OEMs. Full-year fiscal 2026 EPS estimates have been trimmed by 1.2% to $12.00, while fiscal 2027 projections have been lowered by 2.1% to $12.33. Qualcomm’s valuation metrics remain robust, with a P/E ratio of 30.19 and a current ratio of 2.82, reflecting solid liquidity and investor appetite for its growth prospects.

3. Institutional Investors Boost Holdings

In its most recent 13F filing, Strengthening Families & Communities LLC increased its Qualcomm position by 1,099.1%, purchasing an additional 16,464 shares and bringing its total stake to 17,962 shares valued at approximately $3.0 million. This marks one of the largest single-manager increases in Qualcomm exposure during the quarter. Other institutional managers also made modest adjustments: Waypoint Wealth Counsel added 61 shares (2.2% increase), Greykasell Wealth Strategies added 61 shares (1.5%), and Baron Wealth Management added 62 shares (4.5%). Collectively, institutional and hedge fund ownership stands at 74.35% of the outstanding share base, underscoring confidence in Qualcomm’s medium-term growth trajectory despite near-term regulatory and competitive challenges.

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