Calix Shares Surge Over 8% on JPMorgan Upgrade, Price Target at $90

CALXCALX

Calix shares jumped approximately 8.8% after JPMorgan Chase & Co. upgraded the stock to overweight and raised its price target to $90 from $75. Insiders sold 470,000 shares valued at $30.2 million, with the director trimming his stake by 19.9%.

1. Recent Share Performance and Trading Volume

Calix shares surged 7.4% in the last trading session, significantly outpacing the stock’s 50-day moving average of $55.41 and the 200-day moving average of $57.53. Trading volume reached approximately 180,000 shares, well above the stock’s three-month average of 95,000. The advance reversed a mild three-session pullback and pushed the market capitalization to roughly $3.9 billion. Despite the uptick, estimate revisions for the current fiscal year remain mixed, suggesting limited near-term upside beyond this technical rebound.

2. Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Revisions

JPMorgan Chase raised its rating on Calix from Neutral to Overweight and lifted the price target from $75 to $90, citing robust demand for the GigaSpire platform. UBS Group maintained an Outperform rating with a $75 target. Needham & Company reiterated a Buy rating and $82 objective. Roth Capital set an $85 target, while Rosenblatt Securities increased its target from $65 to $85. Zacks Research reduced its stance from Strong-Buy to Hold. Overall, six analysts currently recommend Buy or Outperform, two rate the shares at Hold and one at Sell, yielding a consensus Moderate Buy rating and an average target of $82.00.

3. Latest Quarterly Results and Forward Guidance

In the quarter ended October 29, Calix reported revenue of $265.4 million, up 32.1% year-over-year and exceeding the consensus estimate of $246.2 million. Adjusted EPS was $0.44 versus the Street’s $0.34 projection. The company recorded a negative net margin of 0.78% and a negative return on equity of 0.69%, reflecting ongoing investments in R&D and cloud infrastructure. Calix issued guidance for Q4 EPS in the range of $0.35 to $0.41, compared with the consensus annual EPS outlook of –$0.43. Management highlighted accelerating subscription revenue from its Calix Cloud software platform.

4. Insider Sales and Institutional Ownership Trends

Insiders disposed of 530,000 shares during the past quarter, raising proceeds of approximately $34.1 million. Chief Technology Officer Shane Todd sold 50,000 shares at an average price of $65.34, while Director Carl Russo sold 420,000 shares at $64.09, reducing his stake by nearly 20% to 1.69 million shares. Insider ownership of the company stands at 16.9%. On the institutional side, SouthState Corp increased its stake by 10,000%, Clearstead Advisors added 139.3%, and Whittier Trust lifted holdings by 541%. Overall institutional ownership is 98.1%, indicating strong professional interest in Calix’s growth trajectory.

Sources

DZ