SAO PAULO, Aug. 4 (Reuters) - LATAM Airlines raised its full-year core earnings forecast on Tuesday after improving fuel price expectations, while saying its business model had proven resilient amid the oil shock linked to the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
The carrier said it now expects 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) of $4.1 billion to $4.4 billion, up from the $3.8 billion to $4.2 billion range it forecast in May.
Latin America's largest airline also estimated capacity growth of 9% to 10% this year.
Chief Financial Officer Ricardo Bottas said LATAM was benefiting from a more favorable fuel price outlook than the one assumed three months ago, after conflict in the Middle East disrupted oil flows and caused jet fuel prices to skyrocket.
"We are now updating our (price) scenario to around $150 per barrel for the third quarter instead of $170, and $130 for the fourth quarter instead of $150," Bottas said.
He added that while fuel prices remain well above pre-conflict assumptions of around $90 per barrel, the improvement justified an upgrade to the earnings outlook.
Bottas said the second half would remain challenging due to uncertainty surrounding the geopolitical situation, but added that LATAM was increasingly confident in a gradual recovery of the operating environment and in its business model.