Lithia Motors Q4 Forecast: Flat $9.26B Revenue and $8.10 EPS

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Lithia Motors will report Q4 revenue forecast flat year-on-year at $9.26 billion with adjusted earnings projected at $8.10 per share. In the prior quarter, the company delivered $9.68 billion in revenue—a 4.9% increase—beating analysts’ estimates by 2.6%, though it has missed revenue forecasts five times over two years.

1. Q4 Earnings Outlook

Lithia projects Q4 revenue will remain flat year-on-year at $9.26 billion with adjusted earnings of $8.10 per share, a marked deceleration from the 20.2% revenue surge recorded in the same quarter last year.

2. Previous Quarter Performance

In the prior quarter, Lithia generated $9.68 billion in revenue, up 4.9% year-on-year, outperforming revenue and EBITDA expectations by 2.6% and demonstrating resilient margins.

3. Peer Benchmarking

AutoNation reported a 3.9% drop in Q4 revenue and missed consensus by 3.6%, while OneWater achieved 1.3% growth in line with estimates, indicating varied results across the auto retail sector.

4. Analyst Consensus

Analysts have maintained revenue and EPS estimates over the past month, reflecting stable outlooks, and assign an average target price near $396.71 as shares trade flat ahead of the report.

Sources

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