LyondellBasell Posts EPS Beat While Offering 12% Dividend Yield and 10% YTD Gain

LYBLYB

LyondellBasell Industries reported Q3 EPS of $1.01, beating the $0.80 consensus while revenue fell 10.2% to $7.73 billion year-over-year. The company declared a $1.37 quarterly dividend equating to an 11.5% yield and saw shares rise roughly 10% year-to-date, though AM One reduced its stake by 18.4%.

1. Exceptional Dividend Yield Fuels Investor Interest

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) currently offers a quarterly dividend of $1.37 per share, translating to an annualized payout of $5.48 and a yield of approximately 12%. This yield stands well above the S&P 500 average of 2.3% for dividend-paying stocks. The recent ex-dividend date was December 1, 2025, and the payment was made on December 8. The company’s dividend payout ratio of –146% reflects the combination of substantial payouts and its recent negative net margin, underscoring both the strength of cash returns to shareholders and the cyclical earnings environment participants should monitor.

2. Significant Institutional Position Adjustments

During the third quarter of 2025, Asset Management One Co. Ltd. reduced its stake in LYB by 18.4%, selling 29,192 shares and ending the period with 129,571 shares valued at $6.35 million. Other institutional investors have also tweaked holdings: Crews Bank & Trust increased its position by 16.4% to 1,245 shares; New York Life Investment Management added 193 shares for a total of 38,521; Central Pacific Bank Trust Division acquired 200 shares; and the State of Michigan Retirement System raised its holding by 200 shares to 78,165. Collectively, institutions and hedge funds own 71.2% of LYB’s shares.

3. Q3 Fiscal 2025 Performance and Profitability Trends

In the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, LyondellBasell reported earnings per share of $1.01, outperforming consensus estimates by $0.21. Revenue for the period reached $7.73 billion, down 10.2% year-over-year but above the analyst consensus of $7.41 billion. The company posted a return on equity of 7.5% and recorded a negative net margin of 3.7%, reflecting margin pressures in its polyolefins and advanced polymer segments. Year-to-date, the firm’s integrated refining operations and catalyst innovations have partially offset higher feedstock costs.

4. Recent Analyst Ratings and Price Target Revisions

Wall Street sentiment on LYB has shifted lower through late 2025. Mizuho reduced its price target from $52 to $49 with a neutral rating; BMO Capital Markets kept an underperform rating and cut its target from $48 to $36; Goldman Sachs lowered its price target from $59 to $51 with a sell rating; Rothschild & Co Redburn trimmed its target from $80 to $75 but maintained a buy rating. Of the twenty-two analysts covering LYB, two rate it a buy, sixteen a hold, and four a sell, resulting in an average recommendation of “Reduce” and a consensus price target near $53.33.

Sources

IDG