McDonald’s Q4 Revenue Up 9.5% to $7B; Share Count Cuts 1%

MCDMCD

McDonald’s Q4 systemwide revenue climbed 9.5% to $7B, driven by 5.7% same-store sales growth led by a 6.8% U.S. comp gain and loyalty program 20% revenue surge. Strong cash flow enabled a 1% share count reduction in Q4 and supports resuming accelerated buybacks after shrinking equity deficit by over 50%.

1. Q4 Financial Performance

McDonald’s systemwide revenue rose 9.5% year-over-year to $7 billion in Q4, driven by 5.7% same-store sales growth including 6.8% in the U.S., 5.2% in International Operated Markets and 4.5% in International Developing Markets. Adjusted EPS grew 10% while margin outperformance reached 230 basis points.

2. Share Buybacks and Equity Reduction

The company reduced its share count by 1% in the quarter, contributing to a 25% reduction since 2016 following a $20 billion authorization. Decades of repurchases have led to negative equity, but the deficit shrank by over 50%, underscoring robust capital returns.

3. Loyalty Program and Cash Flow

Growth in the mobile-app loyalty program drove a 20% rise in loyalty revenue alongside a 19% increase in users. Strong operational cash flow sustained dividends and buybacks without compromising the balance sheet or raising leverage concerns.

4. Analyst Upgrades and Forward Outlook

Several analysts raised price targets and upgraded ratings, suggesting modest single-digit upside and a potential high-end near $375. Institutional investors net bought at a ratio exceeding four to one in January, indicating solid support for further gains.

Sources

WFF