MercadoPago’s 83% Credit Growth and 37% Revenue Gain Spotlighted Ahead of Share Recovery

MELIMELI

MercadoLibre’s fintech arm, Mercado Pago, grew credit portfolio by 83% and reached 72 million monthly active users, while consolidated revenue climbed 37% in the first three quarters of 2025. However, provision for doubtful accounts surged 58% and P/E stands at 52, leaving shares about 20% below their 52-week high.

1. Strong Revenue Growth Continues in 2025

MercadoLibre reported year-over-year revenue growth of 37% through the first three quarters of 2025, driven by robust performance across its e-commerce and fintech segments. Gross merchandise volume on its marketplace rose 33%, while payment volumes processed by Mercado Pago jumped 48%, fueled by a 22% increase in active buyer accounts. The company’s logistics unit handled 290 million shipments, up 40%, reflecting continued expansion of its proprietary delivery network in Brazil, Mexico and Argentina.

2. Fintech Business Drives User Engagement and Credit Expansion

Mercado Pago now serves 72 million monthly active users, an increase of 18% year over year. Its credit portfolio grew 83% through September, though provisions for doubtful accounts rose 58% in the first nine months of 2025. Despite higher credit costs, fintech segment revenue climbed 45%, contributing more than one-third of total company revenue. Investments in digital wallet features and point-of-sale integrations have enhanced transaction frequency, with average monthly transactions per active user increasing by 14%.

3. Valuation and Recovery Potential

The shares currently trade at a forward P/E of 52, approximately 68% premium to the S&P 500 average of 31, reflecting investor willingness to pay for sustained high growth. Net income rose 13% to $1.4 billion in the first nine months of 2025, while adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 120 basis points to 17.3%. With macroeconomic conditions in key markets like Argentina and Venezuela showing early signs of stabilization and regulatory tailwinds for digital payments, analysts forecast total revenue growth of 35–40% for full-year 2026, supporting upside potential in the stock.

Sources

FFI