Mercer International Price Target Raised to $1.50 as Q1 Loss Narrows

MERCMERC

CIBC raised Mercer International's price target to $1.50, implying a 66.65% upside from current levels. Mercer logged a Q1 net loss of $52 million ($0.78/share) with $8 million in operating EBITDA, while its One Goal One Hundred program yielded $41 million in cost savings and a $171 million timber order backlog.

1. Price Target Adjustment

CIBC adjusted Mercer International’s price target from $0.90 to $1.50, signaling a potential 66.65% upside. The new target reflects confidence in the company’s strategic cost savings and improving operational metrics despite recent losses.

2. Q1 Financial Performance

In the first quarter, Mercer reported a consolidated net loss of $52 million, or $0.78 per share, including a $22 million non-cash inventory impairment. Operating EBITDA improved to $8 million, up $28 million sequentially, driven by reduced downtime and efficiency gains.

3. Strategic Initiatives and Outlook

Mercer’s One Goal One Hundred initiative delivered $11 million in cost savings in Q1, totaling $41 million since inception. Its mass timber business holds a $171 million order book, underpinning a multi-year production plan and supporting future revenue stability.

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