Moderna and Merck Combo Cuts High-Risk Melanoma Recurrence by 49%

MRNAMRNA

Moderna and Merck reported five-year phase IIb data showing their personalized cancer vaccine intismeran autogene combined with Keytruda cut melanoma recurrence or death risk by 49% in high-risk patients. The trial's positive durability results could accelerate regulatory discussions and expand Moderna’s oncology pipeline prospects.

1. Five-Year Phase IIb Data Show Nearly 50% Reduction in Melanoma Recurrence

Moderna and Merck reported that in a randomized phase IIb trial of 240 high-risk melanoma patients, the combination of Moderna’s personalized mRNA cancer vaccine intismeran autogene and Merck’s Keytruda immunotherapy cut the combined risk of recurrence or death by 49% compared with Keytruda alone over a five-year follow-up. Patients received up to six doses of the individualized vaccine, which encodes neoantigens identified from each patient’s tumor. The safety profile was consistent with previous studies, with no new grade 3 or higher adverse events attributed to the vaccine.

2. CEO Announces Halt to New Late-Stage Vaccine Trials in U.S.

In a Bloomberg TV interview, Moderna’s CEO Stephane Bancel stated that the company will not initiate any new late-stage vaccine trials in the U.S., citing growing scrutiny of immunizations by federal officials. He noted that while existing respiratory vaccine programs will continue, the decision reflects a strategic shift toward oncology and rare disease mRNA applications. Bancel emphasized that Moderna remains committed to advancing trials in regions with more supportive regulatory environments.

3. Stock Surges on Positive Oncology Data

Moderna shares rose 16% in intraday trading following the publication of the melanoma trial results, marking the largest single-day gain since the study’s interim readout in late 2024. Analysts at three major Wall Street firms upgraded their earnings forecasts for 2027 by an average of 12%, driven by expectations that a successful phase III cancer vaccine could add more than $3 billion in annual revenues by 2030. Several brokerage notes highlighted the diversification of Moderna’s pipeline beyond infectious disease as a key catalyst for renewed investor interest.

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