Mondelez Q4 EPS Tops Estimates, Profit Plummets 62% to $665M; Weak Guidance
Mondelez reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.72, beating the $0.70 consensus, and posted net profit of $665 million versus $1.75 billion a year ago as pricing actions and cost discipline offset cocoa inflation headwinds. The company forecast annual revenue and profit below analyst estimates, citing consumer downtrading.
1. Q4 Earnings and Revenue Outperform Expectations
Mondelez reported fourth-quarter earnings of $0.72 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.70. Revenue for the quarter rose 6% year-over-year on a reported basis, driven by strong pricing execution in North America and double-digit growth in emerging markets. These results compare favorably with the same period last year, when earnings were $0.65 per share and revenue growth was 4%.
2. Pricing Power and Cost Discipline Mitigate Cocoa Inflation
The company experienced a 12% increase in raw cocoa costs versus the prior year, but offset this headwind through targeted price increases averaging 3.5% across its key snack brands. Operational efficiency initiatives delivered $200 million in cost savings during the quarter, helping to protect margins despite sustained commodity pressures.
3. Profitability Impacted by High Cocoa Costs
Net income attributable to shareholders was $665 million, down from $1.75 billion in the prior-year quarter, primarily reflecting a one-time non-cash impairment charge related to restructuring and elevated input costs. Adjusted operating margin contracted by 120 basis points to 16.8%, yet remained above the company’s long-term target range due to disciplined expense management.
4. Full-Year Guidance Falls Short of Street Estimates
For fiscal 2026, Mondelez forecasts organic revenue growth of 4% to 5% and adjusted EPS between $3.25 and $3.35, both below average sell-side projections of 6% growth and $3.40 EPS. Management cited consumer trade-down trends in higher-priced chocolate segments and continued volatility in global commodity markets as factors weighing on the outlook.