Morgan Stanley Cuts Chipotle Target to $49 After Q4 Sales Dip

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Morgan Stanley cut its Chipotle Mexican Grill price target to $49 from $50 while maintaining an Overweight rating, reflecting caution after CMG’s Q4 comparable sales fell 2.5% despite a revenue beat. The move comes as Morgan Stanley’s shares traded down 1.0% on the update.

1. Price Target Revision

Morgan Stanley trimmed its Chipotle Mexican Grill price target to $49 from $50 and affirmed an Overweight rating, signaling cautious sentiment despite returns. The firm’s shares fell about 1.0% after the announcement.

2. Underlying Q4 Drivers

The revision followed Chipotle’s fourth-quarter results showing adjusted EPS of $0.25 on $2.98 billion revenue, beating estimates, while comparable restaurant sales declined 2.5% year-over-year. A 0.7% rise in average check partially offset a 3.2% drop in transactions, underlining mixed operational trends.

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