MP Materials Gains 22% YTD, Triggers ATR Bull Signal, 17.5% Short Interest
MP Materials has gained 22% in 2026 to trade near $62 within a $54–$64 range after retreating from its $100.25 October peak. The stock hit a 200-day moving average ATR signal, historically followed by 17.3% one-month gains; 17.5% of its float is sold short and SVI is 76%.
1. Price Performance and Trading Range
MP Materials shares have risen 22% so far in 2026, trading around $62 within a defined channel between $54 and $64 after pulling back from the October record high of $100.25. The stock’s fluctuations reflect consolidation following its early-year rally.
2. Technical Bull Signal and Market Indicators
The stock recently moved within 0.75 of its 200-day moving average’s 20-day average true range, a signal seen six times over the past decade that preceded one-month gains averaging 17.3% in 80% of cases. With 24.79 million shares sold short (17.5% of float) and a Schaeffer’s Volatility Index reading of 76%, MP exhibits significant upside potential amid elevated volatility.