Murphy Oil jumps as crude spikes again, analyst upgrades add fuel

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Murphy Oil shares rose as crude prices jumped again Thursday amid renewed Middle East supply-risk fears, lifting the whole upstream energy group. Recent analyst actions have also turned more constructive, including a Johnson Rice upgrade to Accumulate with a $63 target late March.

1. What’s moving the stock

Murphy Oil (MUR) is trading higher alongside a broad bid in exploration-and-production names as oil prices rebound sharply on Thursday, with markets refocusing on Middle East supply risks. The renewed jump in crude tends to support U.S. E&Ps because it can improve near-term realized pricing expectations and strengthens sentiment across the sector.

2. The catalyst backdrop: crude back in control

Oil’s move is the main tape driver today: reports and market chatter pointed to crude prices surging again after earlier de-escalation hopes faded, sending benchmarks back above key psychological levels. When crude volatility rises, higher-beta upstream equities like MUR often react quickly as investors reprice earnings power and free-cash-flow potential under a higher strip.

3. Analyst actions remain a secondary tailwind

MUR has also been catching supportive research flow recently. Johnson Rice upgraded the stock to Accumulate and paired it with a notably higher $63 price target in late March, while other firms have lifted targets in recent weeks—adding incremental fundamental support behind the commodity-led rally.

4. What to watch next

The durability of today’s move likely hinges on whether crude can hold recent gains and whether the broader energy complex stays bid. Investors will also be watching for any company updates tied to 2026 production execution and offshore project milestones referenced in recent corporate materials, as well as any additional changes in Street price targets or positioning that could amplify day-to-day volatility.