Nebius Group Eyes 4-5x Data Center Capacity Increase and 155% Stock Upside

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Nebius’ revenue jumped 437% to $302 million in the first nine months of 2025 and its adjusted net loss declined by 61%, driving its price-to-sales ratio up to 65 compared with the U.S. tech average of 9. The company plans to quadruple to quintuple its connected data center power capacity in 2026, with analysts projecting 521% revenue growth to $3.45 billion and a consensus 12-month price target implying up to 155% upside to $276 per share.

1. Stellar Revenue Growth & Profit Improvement

Nebius Group’s revenue surged by 437% to $302 million in the first nine months of 2025, driven by exceptional demand for its full-stack AI data center platform. During the same period, the company reduced its adjusted net loss by 61%, reflecting improved operating leverage as it scales GPU-powered compute and storage solutions for training and deploying AI models across healthcare, media, and robotics applications.

2. Valuation Metrics & Premium Justification

Despite trading at a lofty price-to-sales ratio of 65—well above the U.S. technology sector average of under 9—Nebius’s premium valuation is supported by its red-hot growth trajectory and a market environment where data center demand is set to outstrip supply by 9 gigawatts in 2026, according to Goldman Sachs. This supply squeeze has allowed Nebius to sell out its existing capacity and command favorable contract terms.

3. Capacity Expansion Plans

To capitalize on the demand surplus, Nebius plans to expand its connected data center power capacity by four- to five-fold in 2026. Management has already secured lucrative multi-year contracts for new hyperscale deployments, positioning the company to leverage economies of scale and further enhance gross margins as it brings additional GPU and AI accelerator racks online.

4. Upside Potential & Analyst Forecasts

Consensus estimates project a 521% increase in Nebius’s 2026 revenue to $3.45 billion, up from 373% growth in 2025. At a conservative valuation of 20 times sales—a significant discount to its current multiple—the company’s market capitalization could reach $69 billion, implying a 155% share-price gain to around $276 by year-end. The 12-month analyst median price target of $155 suggests a more modest 44% upside, underscoring divergent views on sustainable valuation levels.

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