Netflix Plans All-Cash $27.75 Bid for Warner Bros to Expedite Approval
Netflix is likely to amend its $27.75-per-share bid for Warner Bros. Discovery’s HBO Max and studios—valued at $72 billion equity and $82.7 billion enterprise—to an all-cash offer. An all-cash structure could advance WBD shareholder approval to late February or early March and escalate competition with Paramount’s $30-per-share hostile proposal.
1. Ad-Tier Subscriber Growth Surges
Netflix’s ad-supported tier expanded to a record 190 million monthly viewers in the latest quarter, representing a 25% increase over the prior three months. Advertising revenue in the quarter hit $1.4 billion, the highest in the company’s history, driven by stronger pricing in key markets and higher fill rates from new marketing partnerships. Management reiterated its target to double annual ad revenues by the end of 2025, projecting a run-rate of $5 billion on the current growth trajectory and citing traction in Europe and Latin America as catalysts for broadening advertiser interest.
2. Strategic Warner Bros All-Cash Offer
The streaming giant is preparing to revise its pending acquisition proposal for Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming assets into a fully cash-based bid, elevating the total enterprise value to approximately $82.7 billion. Under the amended structure, Warner Bros. shareholders would receive $27.75 per share in cash, accelerating the approval process by reducing equity issuance requirements. Sources indicate that the move positions Netflix to secure shareholder votes as early as late February, potentially thwarting competing offers and fast-tracking integration of HBO Max’s subscriber base and the studio’s film library into Netflix’s global distribution network.
3. Robust Options Market Activity
Options traders have demonstrated elevated bullish sentiment, with a 10-day call/put volume ratio reaching 4.09 on major U.S. exchanges—its highest reading in over a year. In the past session alone, traders opened 129,000 call contracts versus 33,000 puts, concentrating on January 2026 strikes at 92.5 and 92 levels. This skew suggests market participants are positioning for a stock rally into the first quarter, betting on upside from ad-tier monetization and potential deal-related share gains, while implied volatility remains relatively subdued compared with historical averages.
4. Q4 Earnings Metrics Outlook
Analysts forecast fourth-quarter global streaming revenue to climb 12% year-over-year, with EBITDA margins expected to expand by 200 basis points as content amortization growth moderates. Subscriber net additions are projected at 6 million, driven by seasonally strong demand for original series releases and the introduction of a lower-priced mobile-only plan in emerging markets. Wall Street consensus anticipates free cash flow to exceed $4 billion for the full year, reflecting tighter control over production budgets and cost synergies from recent technology investments in streaming infrastructure.