Netflix Prepares All-Cash $82.7B Warner Bros. Offer and Targets 190M Ad-Tier Viewers

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Netflix’s ad-supported tier hit a record quarter with 190 million monthly viewers, as management targets doubling ad revenue by 2025. Meanwhile, Netflix is preparing to convert its $27.75-per-share Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition proposal into an all-cash offer, valuing the deal at roughly $82.7 billion.

1. Ad-Supported Tier Sees Record Engagement

Netflix’s ad-supported subscription tier attracted a record 190 million monthly viewers in the fourth quarter, driving the highest quarterly ad revenue in company history. Management announced a plan to more than double ad revenues by the end of 2025, projecting growth through expanded inventory and higher fill rates. Ad impressions grew by 65% year-over-year, while average revenue per ad-supported subscriber climbed by 20% compared with the prior quarter, underscoring accelerating monetization of the free and lower-priced segments.

2. Strategic All-Cash Bid for Warner Bros. Assets

In early December, Netflix proposed an acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery’s streaming platform and film studio, structuring the deal at an equity value near $72 billion and total enterprise value of approximately $82.7 billion. Citing faster shareholder approval and reduced execution risk, Netflix is preparing to convert its cash-and-stock offer into a fully cash-backed bid. This adjustment could advance the vote to late February or early March, allowing Netflix to counter rival bids and shore up support ahead of a potential proxy fight initiated by a competing suitor.

3. Bullish Investor Sentiment Evident in Options Activity

Options market data reveal a strong tilt toward bullish positioning in Netflix equity. Over the latest 10-day period, the call/put volume ratio stood at 4.09, the highest reading in a year across major U.S. exchanges. During this span, roughly 129,000 calls traded versus 33,000 puts, with particular concentration in strike contracts around key maturities. Implied volatility sits near the lower end of its annual range, suggesting traders view the cost of bullish exposure as attractive ahead of upcoming earnings and deal developments.

Sources

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