Netflix ups Warner Bros. all-cash bid to $27.75 per share in $82.7B deal

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Netflix amended its acquisition offer for Warner Bros. Discovery’s film, television, and streaming assets to an all-cash bid of $27.75 per share, valuing the deal at $82.7 billion. The transaction faces U.S. antitrust scrutiny, with CEO Ted Sarandos testifying before the Senate and a shareholder vote expected in April.

1. Strong Q4 Results Fail to Soothe Investors

Netflix reported fourth-quarter revenue of $12 billion, up 18% year-over-year, and net income jumped 29% to $2.4 billion, driving operating margins to 31%. Despite these robust fundamentals and an EPS beat of $0.56 versus the $0.55 consensus, the stock slid 10% since the start of the year. Investors remain unnerved by elevated valuation concerns and strategic risks, leading to a disconnect between earnings strength and market reaction.

2. Escalating Warner Bros. Acquisition Battle

Netflix’s all-cash bid of $82.7 billion for Warner Bros. Discovery’s studio and streaming assets has triggered a proxy fight with Paramount Skydance and raised fears of an expensive, drawn-out process. Paramount’s hostile takeover attempts and WBD’s board dynamics have pushed Netflix to sweeten its offer, heightening execution and integration risk. Any regulatory hurdles or shareholder votes could further delay the deal and strain Netflix’s balance sheet.

3. Subscriber Base and Ad Business Gain Traction

The streamer ended 2025 with 325 million paid memberships, reflecting an 8% annual increase, while ad-tier revenues doubled to $1.5 billion. Management forecasts another 100% increase in ad sales this year, positioning advertising as a critical growth pillar. Although U.S. growth is maturing, international markets posted mid-teens revenue gains: North America +18%, EMEA +18%, Asia-Pacific +17% and Latin America +15% (20% in constant currency).

4. 2026 Guidance Signals Slower but Profitable Growth

Netflix projects 2026 full-year revenue of $50.7 billion to $51.7 billion, representing 12–14% growth, down from 16% in 2025, with operating margins expanding to 31.5%. First-quarter revenue is expected to climb 15%, and management underscores disciplined cost control even as content spend rises to support the Warner Bros. integration. Investors must weigh the benefits of margin resilience against decelerating top-line growth and acquisition-related uncertainty.

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