Nio Forecasts First Q4 2025 Adjusted Operating Profit of US$100–172M
Nio expects an adjusted operating profit of RMB700–1,200 million (US$100–172 million) in Q4 2025 compared with an adjusted loss of RMB5,543.6 million in Q4 2024. This turnaround results from higher sales volume, favorable product mix improving margins, and comprehensive cost reduction efforts.
1. NIO Projects First Adjusted Operating Profit in Q4 2025
Based on preliminary unaudited management accounts, NIO expects to record an adjusted operating profit (non-GAAP) in the range of RMB700 million to RMB1,200 million (US$100 million to US$172 million) for Q4 2025. This marks a significant turnaround from an adjusted non-GAAP operating loss of RMB5,543.6 million in Q4 2024. The adjusted profit excludes share-based compensation and reflects the company’s first-ever quarterly non-GAAP operating profit since its 2014 founding. Under GAAP measures, NIO anticipates Q4 operating profit between RMB200 million and RMB700 million (US$29 million to US$100 million). Final audited results are expected when the company reports full Q4 and FY2025 results in mid-March.
2. Drivers of Improved Profitability
NIO attributes the swing to profitability to three core factors: sustained growth in vehicle deliveries, an optimized product mix that improved average vehicle margins, and comprehensive cost reduction measures. In Q4 2025, the company reported delivery volume growth of 40.8% year-on-year, contributing to enhanced leverage of fixed costs. Ongoing efficiency initiatives across manufacturing, R&D and supply chain have yielded material savings, while gross margin expanded to 11.25%, up from mid-single digits a year earlier.
3. Strong Delivery Momentum and Global Expansion
In January 2026, NIO delivered 27,182 vehicles, representing a 96% increase versus the prior year and pushing cumulative deliveries past the one-million mark. Alongside China, the company is testing distributor-led sales channels in selected European and Asia-Pacific markets, aiming to diversify revenue streams outside its home market. Management plans continued investment in next-generation battery swapping, intelligent driving software and platform R&D, while monitoring competitive dynamics and subsidy adjustments in China.