Nvidia Remains Top Pick as Data Center Capex to Rise 69% in 2026

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Citi maintained Nvidia as a top semiconductor pick heading into Q1 earnings, highlighting data center AI infrastructure spending with cloud provider capex set to rise 69% in 2026. Analysts also warn potential memory supply bottlenecks could hamper Nvidia’s next-generation AI chip production.

1. Citi Maintains Nvidia as Top Semiconductor Pick

Citi analysts kept Nvidia among their overall top picks entering the first-quarter earnings season, citing strong AI and general-purpose server demand driving data center chip consumption.

2. Data Center Capex Surge Fuels AI Infrastructure

Forecasts show the five largest U.S. cloud providers will boost capital expenditures by 69% in 2026 following a 79% jump in 2025, supporting a projected $731 billion data center semiconductor market by 2028.

3. Memory Bottlenecks Pose Production Risk

Analysts have flagged potential memory supply constraints that could slow production of Nvidia’s next-generation AI accelerators, raising concerns over pricing and output timelines.

Sources

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