Nvidia Seals Corvex H200 GPU Cluster Deal and Overtakes Apple at TSMC

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The U.S. will approve Nvidia’s H200 AI chip exports to China with a 25% proceeds share, provoking proposed AI Overwatch Act oversight over national security risks. It has also overtaken Apple as TSMC’s largest customer and struck a long-term Corvex deal for H200 GPU clusters to power enterprise AI workloads.

1. NVDA Reports Accelerated AI-Driven Revenue Growth

In its fiscal 2026 third quarter ended October 26, NVIDIA achieved revenue of $57.0 billion, up 62 percent year-over-year, marking its fastest acceleration since entering the AI market. This surge was driven by record sales of its H100 and A100 GPUs into hyperscale data centers, where AI training demand remains robust. Wall Street consensus now forecasts 66 percent revenue growth in the fiscal fourth quarter, reflecting sustained enterprise investment in large-language model development. Gross margin expanded to 70 percent, up from 67 percent a year earlier, as NVIDIA maintained full pricing power amid constrained semiconductor capacity. Capital expenditures by leading cloud providers on NVIDIA-powered clusters are expected to exceed $40 billion in calendar 2026, underscoring the company’s strategic insulation from broader market volatility.

2. Charting NVDA’s Market Cap Trajectory and Valuation

Having crossed the $5 trillion market capitalization milestone in October 2025, NVIDIA currently sits near $4.5 trillion after a modest pullback. Analysts project a 33 percent share-price gain in 2026 would push its market cap to $6 trillion, assuming the stock holds a 40 times forward P/E multiple. Even at a reversion to 30 times earnings—on par with other big-tech peers—consensus earnings estimates for fiscal 2027 imply a $6.3 trillion valuation. Longer-term models foresee EPS compounding at 20 percent annually through 2030, providing a conceivable path to an $8 trillion–$10 trillion valuation if NVIDIA continues to expand beyond GPU hardware into networking, software licensing, and full-stack AI solutions.

Sources

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