Nvidia’s $4.3T Valuation Faces Pressure as Supplier’s IPO Raises $2.6B

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Nvidia’s trailing P/E of 37 and $4.3 trillion market cap reflect stretched valuation with a forward P/E of 21 implying near-term net profits around $200 billion. Its key PCB supplier Victory Giant raised $2.6 billion in Hong Kong, while AMD, custom ASIC makers and open-source compilers challenge Nvidia’s software moat.

1. Stretched Valuation and Profit Expectations

Nvidia trades at a trailing P/E of 37, one of the highest for a tech giant, underscoring limited room for multiple expansion. With a forward P/E of 21, the market expects near-term net profits of roughly $200 billion to justify its $4.3 trillion capitalization.

2. Victory Giant’s $2.6 Billion Hong Kong Debut

Victory Giant Technology, a key Nvidia PCB supplier, raised $2.6 billion in its Hong Kong IPO—the city’s largest in seven months—and saw shares surge 50% on debut. Strong demand for high-density interconnect and multi-layer PCBs underpins its growth outlook.

3. Eroding Software Moat from Rivals

Developers now have viable alternatives to Nvidia’s CUDA through AMD’s ROCm platform and open-source compilers like Triton. Tech giants are also deploying custom ASICs, turning GPU hardware into a more commoditized market and pressuring Nvidia’s high margins.

Sources

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