NVR, Inc. Q4 Net Income Falls 20% to $363.8M on Backlog Drop
NVR reported Q4 net income of $363.8M ($121.54/share), a 20% decline from $457.4M a year earlier, on revenues of $2.71B, down 5%. Homebuilding backlog fell 16% to $4.01B with cancellations at 16.6%, while mortgage banking pre-tax income rose 24% to $57.2M.
1. Fourth-Quarter Earnings and Revenue Declines
NVR reported net income of $363.8 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, down 20% from $457.4 million a year earlier. Diluted earnings per share fell 13% to $121.54. Consolidated revenues dropped 5% to $2.71 billion, missing the pace of prior-year growth. The results surpassed consensus earnings estimates but underscore weaker profitability and top-line pressure compared with the fourth quarter of 2024.
2. Homebuilding Segment Under Pressure
Homebuilding revenues of $2.64 billion declined 5% year-over-year. Settlements fell 8% to 5,668 homes, while the average settlement price rose 3% to $464,900. New orders rose 3% to 4,951 units, but backlog shrank 15% on a unit basis to 8,448 homes and 16% on a dollar basis to $4.01 billion. Gross profit margin narrowed to 20.4%, from 23.6%, driven by higher lot costs, pricing pressure and $35.7 million of contract land deposit impairments. Income before tax for the segment declined 22% to $411.5 million.
3. Mortgage Banking Provides Modest Offset
Mortgage closed loan production totaled $1.51 billion, down 11% from the prior year period. Despite lower production, segment income before tax rose 24% to $57.2 million, benefiting from stronger secondary marketing gains on loan sales. For the full year, closed production dipped 4% to $6.04 billion and income before tax was essentially flat at $152.0 million, reflecting ongoing margin compression in core lending activities.
4. Valuation Concerns and Hold Recommendation
Analysts have downgraded NVR to a hold rating, citing premium valuation multiples relative to peers and mounting housing-market headwinds. The shares trade well above industry average P/E ratios despite a $1.11 billion net cash position. With cancellations rising to 16.6% in the fourth quarter and affordability challenges intensifying, the risk/reward profile is viewed as balanced, limiting upside for new investors.