Oklo slips as Wall Street trims targets on higher 2026 capex and execution risk

OKLOOKLO

Oklo (OKLO) is down about 3% today as investors continue to digest recent analyst price-target cuts tied to higher near-term execution and capital-spending risk. Over the past two weeks, multiple firms reduced targets after Oklo guided to materially higher 2026 capex, pressuring the stock despite long-term AI/data-center nuclear demand optimism.

1. What’s moving the stock today

Oklo shares are lower in Monday trading (March 30, 2026) as the market extends a pullback that followed a wave of recent analyst target reductions. The common thread in the cuts is near-term execution risk and the funding/capex burden required to advance regulatory approvals and begin building toward first deployments.

2. The catalyst: target cuts and capex-driven valuation pressure

In the last two weeks, analysts have pointed to sharply higher 2026 spending as a key reason valuation multiples are being reined in. Goldman Sachs lowered its price target to $65 from $91 while keeping a Neutral stance, citing higher operating expenses and guidance for significantly higher 2026 capex of $350 million to $450 million. UBS also reduced its price target to $60 from $95, maintaining Neutral, explicitly flagging greater short-term execution risk and higher nuclear-project capex with potential cost overruns.

3. Why the market is reacting now

Oklo remains pre-revenue, which makes changes in the expected cash burn and build timetable especially important to investors. When capex expectations move higher, the market often prices in a higher probability of future capital raises and/or a longer path to commercialization, which can weigh on shares even if long-term demand drivers (like data-center power needs) remain intact.

4. What to watch next

Investors will be focused on whether Oklo can hit upcoming commercialization and regulatory milestones without further cost inflation, and whether additional strategic/customer announcements can offset near-term funding concerns. Any updates that clarify project timelines, financing plans, or partner participation could quickly change sentiment given how sensitive early-stage nuclear developers are to execution signals.