OpenAI Chip Deal Drives 35.6% Q3 Revenue Growth at Advanced Micro Devices

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AMD secured a multi-year AI chip deal with OpenAI, boosting hyperscaler demand for its MI300X series. In Q3 2025, the company posted $9.25 billion revenue (up 35.6% year-over-year) with gross margins recovering to 51.7%, supporting Piper Sandler’s Overweight rating.

1. AMD Secures Multi-Year OpenAI Chip Agreement

Advanced Micro Devices has finalized a multi-year arrangement to supply AI accelerators to OpenAI, positioning AMD as a credible alternative to the market leader. Under the deal, AMD will deliver hundreds of thousands of its MI300X series GPUs and related infrastructure components to OpenAI’s compute clusters. This win follows an intensive validation process and includes a warrant granting OpenAI up to a 10% equity stake in AMD if performance milestones are met. The agreement underscores AMD’s ability to scale production for hyperscale AI deployments and marks the first time OpenAI has diversified beyond a single chip vendor for its core training and inference workloads.

2. Data Center Results and Operating Leverage

In Q3 2025, AMD reported data center revenue of $9.25 billion, a 35.6% increase from the prior year, driven largely by AI accelerator sales. Gross margins expanded to 51.7%, reflecting improved pricing power on high-value AI products and greater utilization of its 5-nanometer manufacturing nodes. Management highlighted the ramp of the Helios rack-scale solution, which integrates EPYC CPUs and MI300X GPUs, as a key contributor to operating leverage. The combined CPU–GPU architecture has secured design wins with leading hyperscalers, including Oracle and Meta, and is expected to represent over 20% of data center revenue by the end of 2025.

3. Bullish Analyst Consensus and Valuation Considerations

Wall Street’s conviction in AMD’s AI transition is evident: 40 out of 51 sell-side analysts rate the stock a Buy or Strong Buy, with a consensus price target of $287.38. Piper Sandler maintains an Overweight rating, citing the Helios cluster ramp and OpenAI demand as catalysts for above-consensus growth in 2026. Prediction models assign a 73% probability that AMD will exceed Q1 2026 earnings estimates when it reports on February 3. Despite trading at a forward P/E of 41×—a premium to the sector average—investors are pricing in double-digit revenue acceleration, driven by an expected 80% compound annual growth rate in AI data center sales over the next three years.

Sources

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