Opendoor Names Ex-Shopify COO with 5.9% Jane Street Stake, Eyes 41% Revenue Growth by 2027

OPENOPEN

Opendoor named ex-Shopify COO Kaz Nejatian as CEO, appointed Lucas Matheson and Christy Schwartz, and secured a 5.9% stake from Jane Street. Analysts forecast revenue to dip to $4.2B in 2025 before rising 41% to $6.8B by 2027, with adjusted EBITDA projected to turn positive in 2027.

1. Opendoor Stock Surges on Federal Mortgage Bond Proposal

Shares of Opendoor Technologies jumped sharply in after-hours trading following President Trump’s announcement of a $200 billion mortgage bond purchase program. The proposal, aimed at stabilizing the mortgage-backed securities market, prompted buyers to reassess Opendoor’s capital-intensive home-flipping model. Trading volume on the stock more than doubled its 30-day average, reflecting heightened investor optimism that lower funding costs and renewed liquidity in the mortgage market could unlock growth for the largest iBuyer in the U.S.

2. Revenue Declines and Margin Pressures Outline Near-Term Challenges

Opendoor’s top-line has fallen from $15.6 billion in 2022 to $5.2 billion in full-year 2024, with nine-month 2025 revenue down a further 11% year-over-year to $3.6 billion. Adjusted EBITDA margin slumped to negative 1.1% in the first nine months of 2025, while net losses narrowed slightly to $204 million over the same period. Analysts forecast 2025 revenue of $4.2 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of negative 1.9%, underscoring the risks of a still-elevated 10-year Treasury yield and subdued home-buying demand.

3. Management Overhaul and Platform Diversification as Catalysts

In the past year, Opendoor recruited former Shopify COO Kaz Nejatian as CEO and appointed Coinbase Canada’s Lucas Matheson as president, while securing a 5.9% stake from Jane Street. The company is enhancing its AI-driven pricing engine and scaling Opendoor Exclusives—a digital marketplace connecting sellers and buyers directly—and is forging partnerships with leading home builders and real estate platforms. These initiatives aim to shift revenue mix away from capital-heavy acquisitions toward higher-margin listing and referral services, targeting breakeven adjusted net income by late 2026 and a positive full-year EBITDA in 2027.

Sources

FBB