Analysts Rate O'Reilly Automotive as Buy, Setting $112.05 Target

ORLYORLY

23 analysts covering O’Reilly Automotive assigned a consensus Buy rating with a $112.05 average 12-month target price from nineteen buy, two hold and two strong buy recommendations. The company has achieved 32 years of same-store sales growth and analysts expect 11.4% EPS growth in 2026 despite a 32.5x P/E valuation.

1. Strong Analyst Consensus and Upward Target Revisions

O’Reilly Automotive has secured a unanimous “Buy” recommendation from 23 analysts currently covering the company. Within that group, 19 have issued buy ratings and 2 have upgraded to strong-buy, while only 2 maintain a hold view. Over the past year, the average 12-month price target has been raised to 112.05. Notable upward revisions include UBS Group increasing its target to 120.00, TD Cowen lifting its objective to 125.00, and Goldman Sachs affirming a buy rating with a 121.00 target. These adjustments reflect growing confidence in O’Reilly’s market position and sales momentum across both retail and commercial channels.

2. Insider Sales Highlight Share Liquidity

In the most recent quarter, insiders disposed of 8,980 shares valued at a combined 882,335. Director John Raymond Murphy sold 3,125 shares at an average of 92.60, trimming his stake by 27.78% to 8,125 shares. Senior vice president Christopher Mancini reduced his position by 98.83%, offloading 2,355 shares at an average of 101.31 and retaining just 28 shares. Overall insider ownership now stands at 1.01% of total shares outstanding, underscoring that while leadership engages in some profit-taking, the holdings remain modest relative to institutional stakes.

3. Robust Quarterly Results and Fiscal 2025 Outlook

In its latest quarter, O’Reilly delivered earnings of 0.85 per share, surpassing consensus by 0.02, on revenue of 4.71 billion, beating estimates by 20 million. Revenue grew 7.8% year-over-year, driven by same-store sales increases and new store openings. The company reported a net margin of 14.23% and a return on equity of negative 206.86%, reflecting significant share repurchase activity. Management projects full-year 2025 earnings between 2.90 and 3.00 per share, while analysts collectively forecast approximately 43.94 for the year, indicating sustained profitability and cash flow generation.

4. Institutional Accumulation Trends

Institutional ownership accounts for 85.00% of shares outstanding, with a wave of small to mid-sized managers significantly increasing stakes during the second quarter. Oakworth Capital boosted its position by 1,257.1%, adding 264 shares. HighMark Wealth Management, Canton Hathaway and Nemes Rush Group each expanded by 1,400.0%, acquiring roughly 280 additional shares apiece. ORG Partners grew its holding by 839.4%, adding 277 shares. These coordinated moves by diverse institutions signal broad-based confidence in O’Reilly’s long-term growth prospects and operational resilience.

Sources

FD