PagSeguro Shares Slide 2.5% Ahead of 23.5% EPS Growth Forecast

PAGSPAGS

PagSeguro shares fell 2.46% despite a 4.66% monthly gain outperforming its sector’s 7.85% loss and the S&P 500’s 1.43% decline. Analysts forecast March EPS of $0.42 (+23.5% YoY) on $1.02 billion revenue (+16.8%) and full-year EPS $1.46 (+20.7%) on $3.85 billion revenue (+10.3%).

1. Recent Price Performance

Shares closed at $10.29, down 2.46% from the prior session, while the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq rose 0.10%, 0.07%, and 0.14%, respectively. Over the past month, PagSeguro stock has gained 4.66%, outperforming its Business Services sector loss of 7.85% and the S&P 500’s 1.43% decline.

2. Upcoming Q1 Earnings Forecast

PagSeguro will report first-quarter results on March 4, with analysts forecasting EPS of $0.42, a 23.53% year-over-year increase, and revenue of $1.02 billion, up 16.84%.

3. Full-Year Outlook and Valuation

Fiscal year estimates project EPS of $1.46, a 20.66% rise, and revenue of $3.85 billion, up 10.25%. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 6.38 versus an industry average of 11.02, indicating a valuation discount.

4. Analyst Sentiment and Ranking

The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter has increased 2.01% over the past month, reflecting positive revisions. Analysts maintain a hold rating on the stock, its PEG ratio stands at 0.44 compared to the industry average of 0.98, and the Business Services sector is in the bottom 47% of all industries.

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