Palantir Forecasts 18.4% Upside with $4.2B Revenue and $0.56 EPS in 2026
Palantir’s Q3 2025 EPS of $0.21 topped estimates by $0.04 on $1.18B revenue, driven by a £1.5B U.K. defense partnership and a $10B U.S. Army contract. 24/7 Wall St. projects revenue growing to $4.20B in 2026 with EPS of $0.56 and sets a year-end 2026 price target implying 18.4% upside.
1. Strong Q3 Earnings and Upside from AI Adoption
In its third quarter report, Palantir Technologies topped consensus estimates with adjusted earnings per share of $0.21 versus $0.17 expected and generated $1.18 billion in revenue against forecasts of $1.09 billion. This marked the company’s ninth earnings-per-share beat in ten quarters, driven by accelerated adoption of its AI software platforms—Foundry, Gotham and AIP—across both government and commercial clients. Despite a near 4% share pullback over the first two weeks of January, Palantir remains up 147% over the past year, reflecting sustained investor enthusiasm for its data-driven decision-making tools.
2. Landmark Defense and Space Contracts Bolster Growth Outlook
Since September, Palantir has secured a £1.5 billion partnership with the U.K. government and a $10 billion software and data services contract with the U.S. Army. Earlier federal awards include a $30 million immigration-tracking mandate and several hundred-million-dollar task orders for nationwide citizen-centric databases. The company’s recent June alliance with Voyager Space and its exclusive data-management agreement for the Starlab commercial space station further extend Palantir’s reach into the burgeoning defense and aerospace sectors, laying groundwork for multi-year revenue streams.
3. Robust Historical Growth and Long-Term Forecasts
Since its public debut in October 2020, Palantir’s shares have climbed over 1,750%, while annual revenues have grown from $1.09 billion in 2020 to $2.87 billion in 2024. Net income, after a post-IPO dip, resumed upward trajectory from $0.21 billion in 2023 to $0.46 billion in 2024. Looking ahead, analysts at 24/7 Wall St. project revenue to rise to $4.20 billion in 2026 and $8.48 billion by 2030, with net income reaching nearly $3 billion and earnings per share of $1.27 by the end of the decade. These forecasts imply high-teens to mid-double-digit compound annual growth rates, underpinned by expanding modular sales to commercial customers and sustained government demand.