PayPal Shares Fall 1.2% on Higher Volume as UBS, JPMorgan Cut Targets

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PayPal stock dropped 1.2% to $58.38 on Wednesday with 12.74 million shares traded, 1% above average daily volume. UBS reduced its price target from $80 to $65 and JPMorgan cut to $70 as PayPal set Q4 2025 EPS guidance of $1.27-1.31 and FY 2025 EPS of $5.35-5.39.

1. Stock Decline and Trading Activity

PayPal’s shares fell by 1.2% on Wednesday as trading volume rose by 1% to approximately 12.74 million shares, compared with its 30-day average. The percentage decline marked the third consecutive session of downward movement, following a prior close that reflected a modest pullback from recent levels. The uptick in volume suggests increased investor engagement during the mid-day sell-off.

2. Analyst Ratings and Consensus Outlook

Among 40 analysts covering PayPal, 14 maintain Buy ratings, 22 have Hold ratings and 4 have Sell ratings, resulting in a consensus Hold recommendation. Over the past two months, notable changes include one firm lowering its recommendation from Buy to Hold and another trimming its target outlook. The dispersion of opinions highlights divergent views on PayPal’s near-term growth prospects and competitive positioning in digital payments.

3. Recent Financial Performance and Guidance

In its latest quarterly report, PayPal delivered earnings per share of 1.34, surpassing the consensus expectation by 0.14, on revenue of 8.42 billion, a 7.3% year-over-year increase. Return on equity stood at 25.6% and net margin at 15.0%. Management has guided Q4 EPS to a range of 1.27–1.31 and full-year EPS to 5.35–5.39, while analysts on average forecast 5.03 EPS for the current fiscal year. The company’s P/E ratio rests at 11.7, its PEG ratio at 0.79 and debt-to-equity ratio at 0.56.

4. Corporate Actions and Institutional Ownership

PayPal paid a quarterly dividend of 0.14 per share, representing an annualized payout of 0.56 and a yield of 1.0%, with a payout ratio of 11.2%. Insider activity included the sale of 12,500 shares by one executive and 3,838 by another, reducing their holdings by 28.8% and 18.4%, respectively. On the institutional side, Capital Research Global Investors increased its stake by 2.3% to 27.95 million shares, while Norges Bank initiated a substantial position. Overall, 68.3% of shares are held by institutional investors.

Sources

FD