Peloton Q2 Revenue Misses by $8M, Cuts Guidance and CFO to Depart
Peloton’s Q2 revenue was $656.5 million, missing estimates by $8 million and down 3% from a year earlier, while adjusted EBITDA rose 39% to $81 million. The company cut outlook to $2.40–2.44 billion, Q3 guidance to $605–625 million, forecast a 218,000 subscriber decline, and CFO Liz Coddington departs in March.
1. Q2 Revenue Miss and Weak Guidance Drive Sell-Off
Peloton reported fiscal second-quarter revenue of $656.5 million, falling short of analyst expectations by roughly $20 million. The company also issued third-quarter guidance of $605 million to $625 million and full-year revenue guidance of $2.40 billion to $2.44 billion, both below consensus forecasts. Management attributed the shortfall to slower equipment upgrades among existing members and longer delivery timelines that deferred approximately $4 million of sales into the following quarter. Investors reacted negatively to what they view as a classic "miss-and-lower" event, triggering a more than 25% share price drop on the announcement date.
2. Subscription Base Shows Signs of Pressure
Peloton expects paid connected fitness subscriptions to end the third quarter between 2.65 million and 2.675 million, representing a year-over-year decline of roughly 220,000 members despite a modest sequential increase of 2,000 subscribers. Average monthly churn rose to 1.9%, up 50 basis points from the prior year, reflecting consumer pushback on recent price increases and a slowed cadence of equipment upgrades. Management noted that high owner satisfaction and the durability of installed hardware have extended replacement cycles beyond initial forecasts.
3. Margin Expansion and Cost Discipline Support Profitability
Despite top-line headwinds, Peloton delivered continued progress on its profitability goals. Total gross margin expanded to 50.5%, up 320 basis points year-over-year, while subscription gross margin improved by 420 basis points to 72.1%, bolstered by pricing adjustments and a $9.7 million reduction in accrued music royalties. Adjusted EBITDA rose 39% to $81 million, surpassing guidance, and free cash flow reached $71 million. The company reduced net debt by 52% year-over-year to $319 million and ended the quarter with approximately $1.18 billion in unrestricted cash, as it pursues $100 million in annualized run-rate cost savings.
4. Leadership Change Raises Investor Concerns
Peloton announced that Chief Financial Officer Liz Coddington will depart in March to join a solar energy platform, with management stressing that the decision is not due to any financial disagreements. Coddington’s exit after four years—during which she led margin expansion and debt reduction—has prompted some investors to view the timing as a potential red flag in the midst of the company’s turnaround. The board has initiated a comprehensive search for her successor while reaffirming commitment to the strategic plan to stabilize the business and return to sustainable growth.