PepsiCo Q4 Estimates of $2.24 EPS on $28.97B Revenue as UBS Cuts Target to $170

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Analysts expect PepsiCo to report Q4 EPS of $2.24, up from $1.96 a year ago, on $28.97 billion revenue versus $27.78 billion last year. UBS maintained a Buy rating but lowered its price target to $170, while the stock’s 3.70% yield ($1.4225 quarterly) underpins dividend income.

1. Q4 Earnings and Revenue Outlook

PepsiCo is projected to deliver fourth-quarter earnings of $2.24 per share, up from $1.96 per share in the year-ago period. Consensus revenue estimates stand at $28.97 billion, representing a 4.2% increase over last year’s $27.78 billion. The company will report results before the opening bell on Tuesday, February 3, with analysts closely watching margin performance in both its beverages and snacks divisions amid fluctuating input costs.

2. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets

UBS reaffirmed its Buy rating on January 14, trimming its price target slightly to reflect recent trading levels. In total, one analyst holds a Strong Buy, nine carry Buy ratings, ten recommend Hold and one suggests Sell, resulting in a consensus outlook skewed toward neutral to positive. Recent target revisions have reflected differing views on volume growth in international markets and the impact of pricing actions taken over the past two quarters.

3. Dividend Yield Strategy for Income Investors

PepsiCo offers a 3.70% annual dividend yield, paying $1.4225 per share each quarter for a total of $5.69 per year. To generate $6,000 in annual dividend income (equivalent to $500 per month), an investor would need approximately 1,054 shares; for $1,200 annually ($100 per month), about 211 shares are required. This calculation assumes a stable dividend and does not account for future yield fluctuations driven by changes in the share price or dividend adjustments.

4. Institutional Activity and Financial Ratios

During the third quarter, Donaldson Capital Management increased its stake by 3,850 shares to a total of 202,258 shares, reflecting a 1.9% bump in its holding. Institutional ownership remains high at roughly 73%. On the balance sheet, PepsiCo reports a quick ratio of 0.72, a current ratio of 0.91 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.26, underscoring a leveraged capital structure. The company’s price-to-earnings ratio stands at 29.2 with a price-to-earnings-growth ratio near 4.9 and a beta of 0.42, indicating lower volatility versus the broader market.

Sources

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