Alphabet Eyes 15% Q4 Revenue, 24% EPS Growth Ahead of Feb. 4

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Analysts expect Alphabet to report 15% revenue and 24% EPS growth for Q4 on Feb. 4, driven by Gemini AI integration in Search and 34% Google Cloud growth. Raymond James raised its rating to Strong Buy, forecasting 44% cloud revenue growth in 2026 and setting a $390 12-month price target.

1. Ackman’s Alphabet Stake Delivers Over $2 Billion Gain Since Q3

Billionaire investor Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Capital Management has seen its combined positions in Alphabet’s two share classes appreciate by approximately $2.04 billion since the end of September 2025. As of the latest update, the fund held roughly 6.3 million Class C shares and 4.8 million Class A shares, after selling about 10 percent of its Class A stake. This performance follows share price advances to new highs in December and January, reflecting gains of more than 200 percent on the initial 2023 purchase price range.

2. Google’s Agentic Shopping Initiative Poised to Capture $385 Billion by 2030

Analysts at Morgan Stanley project that so-called agentic shopping—where AI agents autonomously discover, compare and purchase goods—could drive $385 billion in U.S. e-commerce sales by 2030. Google’s Universal Commerce Protocol, which connects retailers’ product catalogs to advanced AI models, aims to eliminate hallucinations and streamline the discovery process. Major retailers and e-commerce platforms are currently integrating the protocol, positioning Google to extend its search leadership into next-generation commerce experiences with minimal incremental risk to its core business.

3. Three Catalysts Drive Confidence Ahead of Q4 Earnings on Feb. 4

Wall Street consensus forecasts anticipate Alphabet will report fourth-quarter revenue growth of 15 percent year-over-year and earnings per share expansion of 24 percent. Key drivers include the rapid adoption of Gemini, now deeply embedded in search and Google apps; Google Cloud’s 34 percent revenue gain and margin improvement from 17 percent to 24 percent; and continued strength in legacy advertising, with double-digit growth in both search and video ad formats. Analysts expect these factors to support an upside surprise, potentially fueling an additional share price rally post-announcement.

4. Robust Analyst Buy Ratings and $390 Twelve-Month Price Target

On January 22, 2026, Raymond James upgraded its recommendation on Alphabet stock from buy to strong buy, citing an accelerating AI narrative and upward revisions to cloud revenue forecasts of 44 percent in 2026 and 36 percent in 2027. The upgrade aligns with an industry average twelve-month price target of $345.43 and a high estimate of $390, implying upside potential of up to 18 percent. Analysts point to the company’s record quarterly revenue above $100 billion in Q3 and its leadership in AI infrastructure and applications as justification for continued optimism.

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