Analysts Hold Phillips Edison with $38.86 Target after Q3 EPS Miss
Analysts maintain an average Hold rating on Phillips Edison with a $38.86 consensus target implying 8.5% upside. The company reported Q3 revenue of $182.7 million (+10.4% y/y) but EPS missed at $0.20 versus $0.64 estimate and issued FY2025 guidance of $0.62–0.65.
1. Analyst Recommendations and Price Targets
Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. has received an average recommendation of “Hold” from nine analysts tracking the stock, with five assigning a hold rating and four a buy. The consensus 12-month price target stands at $38.86, implying an upside potential of approximately 8.5%. Recent brokerages activity includes Barclays reaffirming a positive stance with a $41.00 target and Morgan Stanley raising its objective from $36.00 to $37.00 while maintaining an equal-weight rating.
2. Q3 Earnings Performance and Full-Year Guidance
In its most recent quarter, the company reported revenue of $182.7 million, up 10.4% year-over-year, but missed consensus EPS estimates by $0.44, delivering $0.20 per share versus the expected $0.64. Net margin stood at 11.5% and return on equity at 3.1%. Management has set fiscal 2025 EPS guidance in the range of $0.62 to $0.65, while sell-side analysts forecast full-year earnings of $2.55 per share.
3. Dividend Profile and Payout Sustainability
Phillips Edison pays a monthly dividend of $0.1083 per share, translating to an annualized payout of $1.30 and a yield of 3.6%. The payout ratio is elevated at 197.0% of trailing earnings, raising questions about coverage sustainability. The stock’s ex-dividend date is February 17th, with the next payment scheduled for March 3rd.
4. Institutional Ownership and Volatility Metrics
Institutional investors hold 80.7% of outstanding shares, while insiders account for 8.0%, signaling strong alignment with long-term performance. The REIT’s beta is 0.53, indicating volatility roughly 47% below that of the S&P 500. Its market capitalization stands near $4.5 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.2 and a PEG ratio of 1.41, reflecting growth expectations relative to valuation.