Phillips Edison Sees 8.5% Upside on $38.86 Target Despite 54.2 P/E

PECOPECO

Phillips Edison & Company posted $661.4 million revenue and $62.7 million net income with $0.66 EPS, a 54.24 P/E and 11.5% margin trailing Federal Realty. Nine analysts assign average “Hold” rating and $38.86 target implying 8.5% upside; REIT yields 3.6% with 197% payout ratio.

1. Valuation & Profitability Metrics

Phillips Edison & Company reported gross revenue of $661.4 million over the last twelve months, generating net income of $62.7 million and earnings per share of $0.66. The firm trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 6.81 and a price-to-earnings multiple of 54.24, reflecting a premium relative to its mid-cap retail REIT peers. On profitability, the company achieved a net margin of 11.51%, return on equity of 3.14% and return on assets of 1.58%, underpinned by its portfolio of grocery-anchored shopping centers. Quarterly results for Q3 showed revenue up 10.4% year-over-year to $182.7 million, although EPS of $0.20 missed consensus by $0.44. Management has set full-year guidance of $0.62–$0.65 per share, compared to analyst projections of $2.55 in aggregate EPS for the fiscal year.

2. Analyst Recommendations & Price Targets

Nine brokerages currently cover the company, assigning an average recommendation of Hold with five hold ratings and four buy ratings. Recent upgrades include a raise from Sell to Hold by Wall Street Zen and an equal-weight affirmation with a higher target by Morgan Stanley, which lifted its objective from $36.00 to $37.00. Barclays maintains a Positive view with a $41.00 target, while Mizuho and Weiss Ratings each reiterate Neutral or Hold stances at $39.00. The consensus 12-month target price stands at $38.86, implying an 8.5% upside from current levels.

3. Dividends, Ownership & Risk Profile

The company pays a monthly dividend of $0.1083 per share, translating to an annualized yield of 3.6% and a payout ratio near 197% of reported earnings. This represents one consecutive year of dividend increases. Institutional investors hold 80.7% of shares outstanding, while insiders account for 8.0%, signaling alignment with long-term performance goals. The stock exhibits a beta of 0.53, suggesting 47% lower volatility than the broad market, and a 12-month trading range between $32.40 and $37.76, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $35.20 and $34.73, respectively.

Sources

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