Rivian EPS Loss Seen at $0.59 While Revenue Forecasts Top $11 B Next Year
Analysts expect Rivian to report a $0.59 per-share loss in Q1, a 43.9% year-over-year decline, with consensus estimates up 10.8% over 30 days. Quarterly revenue is forecast at $1.36 billion (+9.9% yoy) and next fiscal revenue at $11.05 billion (+56.7%), earning an F valuation grade and a Hold ranking.
1. Earnings Estimate Revisions
Analysts now expect Rivian to lose $0.59 per share in the current quarter, a 43.9% drop from a year earlier, with this consensus estimate rising 10.8% over the past 30 days. Full-year EPS is forecast at -$2.33 (up 4.9%) and $0.73 for next fiscal year (+68.6%), though that estimate fell 54.9% over the last month.
2. Revenue Projections and Growth
Quarterly revenue is projected at $1.36 billion, up 9.9% year-over-year, while full-year sales estimates stand at $7.05 billion (+30.9%) and $11.05 billion (+56.7%) for the next fiscal year. In the last reported quarter, Rivian generated $1.29 billion in revenue, down 25.8% year-over-year but exceeding forecasts by 2.1%.
3. Recent Financial Performance
In the latest quarter, Rivian recorded EPS of -$0.54 versus -$0.52 a year earlier, beating consensus by 21.7%. The company has surpassed revenue estimates in each of the past four quarters and outperformed EPS forecasts three times in that period.
4. Valuation and Ranking
Rivian’s valuation metrics earn an F grade, indicating a premium valuation relative to its peers. Its Hold ranking (#3) suggests near-term performance in line with the broader market, reflecting mixed outlook on profitability and growth.