Rivian Stock Soars 26% on 62k–67k 2026 Delivery Forecast
Rivian reported a forecast of 62,000–67,000 vehicle deliveries for 2026, projecting a 47%–59% increase over 2025 volumes. Shares jumped 26% on the outlook, with Deutsche Bank raising its price target to $23 from $16 and short interest at 17.9% poised to unwind.
1. Q4 Results and 2026 Delivery Forecast
Rivian delivered strong fourth-quarter results and issued a 2026 delivery forecast of 62,000 to 67,000 vehicles, representing a 47% to 59% increase over 2025 volumes. Management cited ramped production capacity and improved supply chains as key enablers of the higher output targets.
2. Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Increases
Deutsche Bank upgraded Rivian to a buy rating and lifted its price target to $23 from $16, joining three other firms issuing bullish notes. With 17 of 19 covering analysts still rating shares a hold or worse, further upgrades could drive additional upside.
3. Market Reaction and Trading Activity
Shares surged 26%, reaching their highest level since mid-January and pacing for the largest single-day gain on record. Options volume ran five times the intraday average, with 231,000 calls and 107,000 puts exchanged as 17.9% short interest sets the stage for a potential unwind.