Robinhood Sees Record 8.5B Q4 Prediction Contracts, Forecasts Growth Around Olympics and World Cup
Robinhood’s prediction market traded over 12 billion contracts in 2025, with Q4 sport-based volume hitting a record 8.5 billion as NBA activity surpassed NFL, and CEO Vlad Tenev forecasts growth tied to Winter Olympics and FIFA World Cup. The firm reported Q4 revenue of $1.28 billion and EPS of $0.66.
1. Strong Prediction Market Performance
Robinhood’s prediction market recorded over 12 billion contracts traded in 2025, with Q4 sport-based volume reaching 8.5 billion. NBA contract trading surpassed NFL activity, and CEO Vlad Tenev anticipates further growth linked to the Winter Olympics and FIFA World Cup.
2. Q4 Financial Results
The company posted fourth-quarter revenue of $1.28 billion, below the $1.34 billion estimate, while earnings per share of $0.66 topped the $0.62 consensus. The mixed results drove a 7.7% drop in after-hours trading.
3. Blockchain Platform Launch
Robinhood launched a public testnet for its Robinhood Chain, an Ethereum Layer 2 solution on Arbitrum, and partnered with Chainlink to support tokenized real-world asset applications. The initiative aims to attract developers to build on the platform’s emerging blockchain infrastructure.