Ryanair Reports €115M Q3 Profit and Boosts FY26 Outlook by 33%

RYAAYRYAAY

Ryanair posted Q3 pre-exceptional profit of €115 million as traffic rose 6% to 47.5 million passengers and average fares increased 4% with unit costs flat. It upgraded its fiscal 2026 profit forecast by one third after securing early Boeing deliveries and launching 3 new bases with 106 routes on strong bookings.

1. Strong Q3 Earnings Performance

Ryanair reported a pre-exceptional Q3 profit after tax of EUR 115 million, driven by a 6% increase in passenger traffic to 47.5 million and a 4% rise in average fares. Revenue per passenger climbed 3%, while stringent cost control efforts kept unit costs flat quarter-on-quarter. Other income dipped slightly due to the absence of delivery delay compensation received in the prior year period.

2. Upgraded Full-Year Fare Growth Guidance

Following robust early 2026 bookings and a 4% fare uplift in Q3, Ryanair raised its full-year average fare growth forecast. Management now expects average fares to increase by at least 3.5%, compared with previous guidance of 3%, supporting expectations for a circa 33% year-on-year jump in after-tax profit for fiscal 2026. This upgrade reflects sustained leisure demand and higher load factors across key European markets.

3. Italian AGCM Fine Provision and Appeal

The group has recorded an EUR 85 million provision (approximately 33% of the alleged fine) for the Italian competition authority’s ruling issued on December 24. Ryanair’s legal team maintains the fine is baseless and expects a successful appeal later this year. CFO Neil Sorahan emphasized confidence in overturning the decision, noting no adjustment to operational cash flow forecasts despite the provision.

4. Fleet Expansion, Route Growth and Fuel Hedging

As of December 31, Ryanair’s fleet comprised 643 aircraft, including 206 next-generation Gamechanger jets, with a further four Gamechangers due for delivery in February. The airline has announced three new bases and 106 additional summer 2026 routes, now on sale. Fuel cost risk remains well managed, with 80% of FY 2027 requirements hedged at an average price of USD 67 per barrel, translating to an expected 10% reduction in fuel expenditure next year.

Sources

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