Sandisk Rally Hits 100% YTD; Q1 Revenues Rise 23% and EPS Outlook Raised
Sandisk shares have more than doubled this year after its early-2025 spin-off from Western Digital, driven by surging edge computing and data center NAND demand. In Q1 2026 the company posted 23% revenue growth to $2.3 billion and Citi raised its 2026 EPS estimate by 27% to $17.78.
1. Exceptional Year-to-Date Rally
Sandisk has more than doubled its market value this year, delivering over 100% returns for investors. This performance far outpaces major peers, with the company’s shares climbing from early January levels in excess of 100% by late January. The stock’s surge commenced in mid-2025 and has accelerated in 2026, driven by tight global NAND supply and booming demand from AI infrastructure projects. In the first eleven trading days of 2026, shares jumped roughly 70%, underscoring the intensity of the rally.
2. Recent Financial Results Highlight Growth Trajectory
In Q1 of fiscal 2026, Sandisk reported revenue of $2.3 billion, a 23% increase year-over-year and above its own guidance. Net income totaled $112 million, compared with $211 million in the prior-year period, reflecting ongoing investments in capacity expansion and R&D for next-generation flash technologies. The company confirmed partnerships with five major hyperscale customers to broaden its data center footprint and highlighted that its edge computing segment—serving vehicles, drones and security systems—remains the most profitable.
3. Strategic Outlook and Valuation Considerations
Management is targeting data center storage as the next major growth driver, citing projections for over $1 trillion in global AI infrastructure investment by 2030. The rollout of high-capacity, energy-efficient SSDs based on its BiCS8 architecture is expected to capitalize on this trend. Independent research forecasts a 42% increase in fiscal 2026 sales to $10.45 billion and a 350% jump in EPS to $13.46, with fiscal 2027 estimates rising by another 93%. Trading at a forward P/E multiple of around 30X—on par with industry averages—Sandisk maintains a strong buy rating from leading analysts, who have recently lifted EPS estimates to as high as $17.78 for 2026 while raising target valuations accordingly.