Shadow Fleet Handles 50% of Hormuz Transits, ETF Rallies After $30 Oil Swing

SPYSPY

Shadow fleet vessels handled nearly half of tanker and gas carrier transits through the Strait of Hormuz between March 1-8 as tonnage plunged 90% from pre-war levels. The disruption spurred a relief rally in equity markets including SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust while crude swung from $119 to $83 intraday.

1. Shadow Fleet Expansion

Shadow fleet vessels now handle nearly half of all tanker and gas carrier transits through the Strait of Hormuz for the period March 1-8, capturing market share as mainstream shipping companies avoid wartime routes.

2. Tonnage Collapse

Total transit tonnage through the strait has fallen by about 90% compared with pre-war levels, reflecting significant risk aversion among conventional shipowners and a shift toward sanctioned crude transport methods.

3. Market Reaction

The sharp disruption in oil flows triggered a relief rally in equity markets, notably boosting SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust as investors reacted to the latest crude and shipping data.

4. Crude Volatility

West Texas Intermediate crude swung from a high of $119 to a low of $83 in a single session, underlining extreme market uncertainty tied to geopolitical tensions and shipping instability.

Sources

F