Options pricing implies SpaceX stock may range from $166 to $204 by next Friday, a 10% swing from its $185 closing price. Potential additions to CRSP and S&P Dow Jones indexes on Monday and to LSEG FTSE Russell and MSCI by month-end, plus its 10-day IPO quiet-period expiry, are catalysts.
Options prices imply SpaceX shares could trade as low as $166 or as high as $204 through next Friday, a 10% swing from Thursday’s $185 close. That represents movement from levels about 40% above the June 11 IPO price and below record-highs near $225, highlighting significant near-term volatility expectations.
SpaceX faces potential additions to major benchmarks beginning Monday, with CRSP and S&P Dow Jones Indices likely to include the stock. LSEG’s FTSE Russell and MSCI may follow by month-end, potentially prompting index-tracking funds to purchase shares ahead of formal inclusion dates.
Underwriters’ 10-day quiet period following the June 11 IPO elapses Monday, allowing banks to publish initiation and price-target reports. Oppenheimer has set an early $190 target, and further sell-side research could shape investor outlook and trading activity in the coming sessions.
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