Strategy’s $12B Bitcoin Loss Dismissed as Dry Powder Buying Opportunity
STRC•On Patrick Bet-David’s show, Adam Sosnick compared his Bitcoin “dry powder” to the risk capital Elon Musk took from Tesla to launch SpaceX and said he bought BTC at $10,000 and $20,000 when Strategy’s Michael Saylor appeared. The panel highlighted Strategy’s roughly $12 billion unrealized Bitcoin loss near a $60,000 token price and dismissed calls that Saylor will need to sell, predicting long-term upside.
1. Dry Powder Strategy Explained
Adam Sosnick, Senior VP of Sales at Welcome Funds, described on the show how he allocates his portfolio into short-term, long-term and high-risk buckets. He likened his cash reserve for Bitcoin purchases—what he calls “dry powder”—to the same risk capital entrepreneurs use, pointing to Musk’s use of Tesla funds to build SpaceX.
2. Strategy’s $12 Billion Unrealized Loss
Panelists noted that Strategy holds an unrealized loss of about $12 billion on its Bitcoin holdings as the token trades near $60,000, roughly half its peak value. Despite user speculation that Michael Saylor might sell, the group dismissed such concerns, arguing that paper losses only materialize upon sale.
3. Panel’s Bitcoin Outlook
Discussion turned to possible price swings, with predictions ranging from a drop to $30,000 up to a surge past $130,000 if macroeconomic factors shift. Tom Ellsworth compared Strategy’s position to past corporate debt challenges and suggested that long-term holders like Saylor will ultimately benefit.




