SpaceX Weighs Tesla and xAI Merger Ahead of $1.5T IPO Boosting Shares 3.1%

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After-hours Tesla shares jumped 3.11% following Bloomberg’s report that SpaceX is considering a merger with Tesla and xAI ahead of a planned June IPO valued at roughly $1.5 trillion. Insiders say investor demand is driving these talks, potentially reinforcing Musk’s strategy to consolidate resources across his aerospace and AI ventures.

1. Q4 Earnings Exceed Analyst Estimates

Tesla reported fourth‐quarter revenue of $24.3 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.50, surpassing the consensus forecast of $0.45 per share. Automotive revenue totaled $18.7 billion, down 10% year‐over‐year, while gross margin for the division improved to 17.9%, driven by cost reductions in battery cell procurement and manufacturing efficiencies at Giga Texas. Despite a 3% decline in total deliveries versus the prior year, the company generated $2.1 billion in free cash flow for the quarter, reflecting disciplined working‐capital management and ongoing scale benefits.

2. $20 Billion Capital Expenditure Plan Targets Robotics and AI

Elon Musk outlined plans to invest $20 billion in capital expenditures for 2026, more than double the prior year's level. Funding will be allocated to factory retooling for the next‐generation robotaxi platform, expansion of the Nevada Gigafactory’s battery module capacity by 50%, and development of an AI training cluster at the Fremont site. The robotaxi initiative alone represents a $7 billion commitment over the next 18 months, covering R&D costs for the new San Mateo AI chip and automation lines capable of producing 100,000 vehicles annually by 2027.

3. Potential Strategic Tie-Up with SpaceX and xAI

Reports indicate that SpaceX is in early discussions to merge with Tesla and xAI prior to its planned mid-year IPO at an estimated $1.5 trillion valuation. Insiders suggest two scenarios: a direct consolidation of Tesla into SpaceX or a three-way combination that would integrate Tesla’s energy storage business, xAI’s data-center infrastructure, and Starlink connectivity. Such a transaction could unlock synergies in satellite‐powered data centers and shared capital‐equipment pools, while offering Tesla investors exposure to the high-growth orbital services market.

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