Third Point Sells 23% of Taiwan Semiconductor Shares Despite $33.1B Q3 Sales

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Third Point reduced its Taiwan Semiconductor stake by 23% in Q3 2025 citing U.S.-China risks, while TSMC reported Q3 net sales of $33.1 billion (up 30.3% YoY) and raised its dividend by 20%. It also began 2nm chip volume production and secured a U.S. export license for China.

1. TSMC Q4 Revenue Tops $33 Billion on AI-Driven Demand

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) reported fourth-quarter revenue of T$1,046.08 billion (approximately $33.05 billion), marking a 20% year-over-year increase driven by surging orders for AI-optimized chips. The company’s gross margin expanded to 57.8%, supported by strong sales of advanced 5 nm and 3 nm logic nodes for customers including Nvidia and Apple. TSMC’s foundry capacity utilization exceeded 95% in the period, underscoring continued tightness in wafer supply as data-center operators ramp up spending on new AI server fleets.

2. Memory Inflation Poses Headwind to Smartphone Revenue

Analysts warn that elevated memory prices could strain TSMC’s handset business, which accounted for roughly 30% of Q3 revenue. TrendForce data suggests DRAM contract prices may climb 55%–60% and NAND prices 33%–38% in Q1 2026 as high-bandwidth memory (HBM) supply remains constrained. Higher component costs risk prompting smartphone makers to delay model upgrades or trim production runs, potentially narrowing TSMC’s near-term growth in the mobile segment.

3. 2026 Outlook Underpinned by 2 nm Expansion and Valuation Appeal

Looking ahead, TSMC plans to double its 2 nanometer chip capacity by year-end, with volume production already commencing at Fab 22 in Kaohsiung. Investors point to a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 31x—below peers such as Nvidia—despite consensus forecasts for 25% earnings growth in 2026. With a 72% foundry market share and planned capital expenditures of over $40 billion to bolster AI node output, TSMC is positioned to sustain above-market growth as global AI infrastructure investment ramps up.

Sources

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