Thrivent Boosts Visa Holding by 6.2% as UMB Bank, Mediolanum Trim Stakes

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Thrivent Financial for Lutherans boosted its Visa stake by 6.2%, acquiring 89,593 shares to hold 1,543,383 shares, representing 1% of its portfolio valued at $526.9M. UMB Bank reduced its position by 10.8% to 158,458 shares worth $54.1M, while Mediolanum International Funds trimmed its stake by 5.5% to 345,008 shares.

1. Strong EPS Growth Forecast for 2026

Analyst Neil Patel projects that Visa will sustain its robust fundamentals into fiscal 2026, building on a 14% year-over-year gain in adjusted earnings per share in 2025. Patel anticipates double-digit EPS expansion next year as transaction volumes climb across key markets, driven by continued global consumer spending and cross-border payment growth. Despite recent softness in consumer sentiment surveys, Visa’s scale in card processing and network fees positions it to deliver mid‐teen revenue growth and high-teens operating margin expansion in 2026, underpinning shareholder returns through both buybacks and modest dividend increases.

2. Network Effect Comparison with Mastercard

Visa and Mastercard each benefit from powerful network effects, with over 3.5 billion cards on Visa’s network and more than 2.8 billion on Mastercard’s. Both companies achieve transaction-level operating margins north of 60%, but trade at premium multiples relative to the broad market. Investors weighing the two should consider Visa’s slightly larger merchant acceptance footprint and higher cross-border volume mix, while Mastercard offers marginally higher revenue growth from recent fintech partnerships. Neither stock appears undervalued today, suggesting that long-term returns will hinge more on execution of digital payments initiatives than on multiple expansion.

3. Affiance Financial’s Strategic ETF Allocation Includes Visa

In Q4 2025, Affiance Financial allocated $43 million to the Akre Focus ETF, a concentrated fund holding just 20 names selected on quality and reinvestment criteria. Visa ranks among the top five positions in that ETF alongside Mastercard and Brookfield, reflecting Chuck Akre’s ‘Three-Legged Stool’ emphasis on durable competitive moats and capital reinvestment. The AKRE stake now represents nearly 7% of Affiance’s total AUM, up from zero in the prior quarter, illustrating a tactical shift toward high-conviction active management within an otherwise index-heavy portfolio.

4. Thrivent Financial Boosts Visa Stake

Thrivent Financial for Lutherans increased its Visa holdings by 6.2% in the most recent quarter, adding roughly 90,000 shares to bring its total position to 1.54 million shares—now its 12th largest equity weighting. This move lifted Visa to represent 1% of Thrivent’s overall equity assets, with the stake valued at just over half a billion dollars. Other institutional managers, including Victrix Investment Advisors and Donaldson Capital Management, also modestly upped their Visa exposures by 6.3% and 15% respectively, underscoring broad confidence in Visa’s durable fee-based revenue streams and low capital intensity model.

Sources

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