TSMC Raises 2026 CapEx to $52–56 B After Q4 Sales Jump 26%

TSMTSM

TSMC reported Q4 revenue of $33.7 billion, up 26%, with EPS rising 40% to $3.14 and gross margin expanding to 62.3%. The company raised its 2026 CapEx guidance to $52–56 billion and forecasts Q1 sales of $34.6–35.8 billion, implying 38% YoY growth and 30% annual revenue growth.

1. Strong Q4 Performance and Margin Expansion

In the fourth quarter, TSMC delivered revenue of $33.7 billion, representing a 26% increase year-over-year (21% on a local-currency basis). Gross margin rose to 62.3%, up 330 basis points from the prior year, while operating margin expanded by 500 basis points to 54%. Both metrics exceeded the company’s own guidance range of 59%–61% for gross margin and 49%–51% for operating margin, underscoring TSMC’s superior cost discipline and pricing power in advanced process technologies.

2. Aggressive CapEx Buildout to Meet AI Chip Demand

TSMC announced a capital expenditure budget of $52 billion to $56 billion for 2026, well above analyst forecasts near $41 billion. Management cited insatiable demand from leading cloud providers for AI data-center capacity as the primary driver. High-performance computing accounted for 55% of Q4 revenue (58% for the full year), and continued expansion of wafer fabrication capacity is aimed at supporting surging orders for 3 nanometer and 5 nanometer chips used in the latest AI accelerators.

3. Advanced Node Leadership and 2026 Revenue Outlook

In Q4, revenue from process nodes at 7 nanometers and below reached 77% of total wafer sales, up from 74% a year earlier. The newest 3 nanometer node contributed 28% of wafer revenue, a two-point increase. For the first quarter of 2026, TSMC projects revenue between $34.6 billion and $35.8 billion, implying 38% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Full-year guidance calls for approximately 30% revenue growth, driven by ongoing ramp of advanced nodes and capacity additions in Taiwan and overseas facilities.

Sources

FZIZI
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